Everything about The Neutral Theory Of Molecular Evolution totally explained
The
neutral theory of molecular evolution (also, simply the
neutral theory of evolution) is an influential theory that was introduced with provocative effect by
Motoo Kimura in the late
1960s and early
1970s. Although the theory was received by some as an argument against
Darwin's theory of
evolution by
natural selection, Kimura maintained, and most modern evolutionary biologists agree, that the two theories are compatible: "The theory doesn't deny the role of natural selection in determining the course of adaptive evolution" (Kimura, 1986). The theory attributes a large role to
genetic drift.
Overview
While some scientists had hinted that maybe neutral
mutations were widespread, like Sueoka (1962), a coherent theory of neutral evolution was first formalized by Motoo Kimura in 1968, followed quickly by
Jack L. King and
Thomas H. Jukes' provocative article, "Non-Darwinian Evolution" (1969).
According to Kimura, when one compares the
genomes of existing species, the vast majority of molecular differences are selectively "neutral." That is, the molecular changes represented by these differences don't influence the
fitness of the individual organism. As a result, the theory regards these genomic features as neither subject to, nor explicable by, natural selection. This view is based in part on the
degenerate genetic code, in which sequences of three nucleotides (
codons) may differ and yet encode the same
amino acid (
GCC and
GCA both encode
alanine, for example). Consequently, many potential single-nucleotide changes are in effect "silent" or "unexpressed" (see
synonymous or silent substitution). Such changes are presumed to have little or no biological effect. However, it should be noted that the original theory was based on the consistency in rates of amino acid changes, and hypothesized that the majority of those changes too were neutral.
A second assertion or hypothesis of the neutral theory is that most evolutionary change is the result of
genetic drift acting on neutral
alleles. A new allele arises typically through the spontaneous
mutation of a single nucleotide within the sequence of a gene. In single-celled organisms, such an event immediately contributes a new allele to the population, and this allele is subject to drift. In
sexually reproducing multicellular organisms, the nucleotide substitution must arise within one of the many
sex cells that an individual carries. Then only if that sex cell participates in the genesis of an
embryo and offspring does the mutation contribute a new allele to the population. Neutral substitutions create new neutral alleles.
Through drift, these new alleles may become more common within the population. They may subsequently be lost, or in rare cases they may become "
fixed"--meaning that their substitution becomes a 'permanent' feature of the population.
According to the mathematics of drift, when looking between divergent populations, most of the single-nucleotide differences can be assumed to have accumulated at the same rate as individuals with mutations are born. This latter rate, it has been argued, is predictable from the error rate of the
enzymes that carry out
DNA replication--enzymes that have been well studied and are highly
conserved across all species. Thus, the neutral theory is the foundation of the
molecular clock technique, which
evolutionary molecular biologists use to measure how much time has passed since species diverged from a common ancestor. While the mutation rate isn't considered to be constant, diverse and more sophisticated clock techniques have emerged.
Many
molecular biologists and
population geneticists, besides Kimura, contributed to the development of the neutral theory, which may be viewed as an offshoot of the
modern evolutionary synthesis.
The "neutralist-selectionist" debate
A heated debate arose on the initial publication of Kimura's theory, in which discussion largely revolved around the relative percentages of alleles that are "neutral" versus "non-neutral" in any given
genome. Contrary to the perception of many onlookers, the debate wasn't about whether or not natural selection acts at all. Kimura argued that
molecular evolution is dominated by selectively neutral evolution, but at the
phenotypic level changes in characters were probably dominated by
natural selection rather than
sampling drift (Provine 1991).
After flirting with the idea that slightly deleterious mutations might be quite common (Ohta, 1973),
Tomoko Ohta,
Kimura's student, made an important generalisation of the neutral theory by including the concept of "
near-neutrality" (Ohta, 1992, 2002), that is, genes that are affected mostly by drift or mostly by selection depending on the effective size of a breeding population. The neutralist-selectionist quarrel has since cooled, yet the question of the relative percentages of neutral and non-neutral alleles remains. Graur & Li (2000), go as far as to say;
"There are only two predictions we're willing to make about the future of molecular evolution. The first concerns old controversies. Issues such as the neutralist-selectionist controversy or the antiquity of introns, will continue to be debated with varying degrees of ferocity, and roars of "The Neutral Theory Is Dead" and "Long Live the Neutral Theory" will continue to reverberate, sometimes in the title of a single article."
As of the early
2000s, the neutral theory is widely used as a "null model" for so-called
null hypothesis testing. Researchers typically apply such a test when they already have an estimate of the amount of time that has passed since two species or lineages diverged--for example, from
radiocarbon dating at
fossil excavation sites, or from historical records in the case of human families. The test compares the actual number of differences between two sequences and the number that the neutral theory predicts given the independently estimated divergence time. If the actual number of differences is much less than the prediction, the null hypothesis has failed, and researchers may reasonably assume that
selection has acted on the sequences in question. Thus such tests contribute to the ongoing investigation into the extent to which molecular evolution is neutral (Leigh 2007).
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